Lake Central
Boys - Girls
2013 - 2014 - 2015
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State Rank #16
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #3
Crown Point Regional Rank #1
Gavit Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 15th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.2%
Top 10 at State Finals 11.6%
Advance to State Finals 99.9%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
91  Jenny Crague 10 19:39
103  Sydney Vandersteeg 10 19:43
145  Sarah Hunsley 10 20:04
158  Maritza Castaneda 12 20:08
203  Megan Zajac 12 20:22
206  Sara Ramos 10 20:23
232  Josie Polaski 12 20:29
Melissa Spanier 12 21:07
Joule Tazbir 11 21:54
DateRace Rating
08/30 Rudy Skorupa Invitational 331
09/06 Harrison Invitational 314
09/13 Bob Thomas Invitational 342
09/20 New Prairie Invitational (AAA) 301
09/20 New Prairie Invitational (JV)
09/27 Culver Academies Invitational (Elite) 335
10/04 Duneland Athletic Conference 342
10/11 Gavit Sectional 317
10/18 Crown Point Regional 297
10/25 New Prairie Semi-State 289
11/01 State Finals 291




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 99.9% 15.1 390 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.1 3.2 4.5 5.7 7.3 8.4 9.5 10.4 10.4 10.0 7.9 6.4 4.6 3.6 2.3 1.3 0.6
Semi-State 100% 3.1 98 2.0 28.7 36.3 23.2 7.9 1.8 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.0 23 100.0 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.0 16 100.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jenny Crague 100.0% 82.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 66.7% 99.0%
Sydney Vandersteeg 99.9% 89.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 41.7% 97.5%
Sarah Hunsley 99.9% 118.8 8.3% 76.1%
Maritza Castaneda 99.9% 124.2 0.0% 68.1%
Megan Zajac 99.9% 143.5 0.0% 35.7%
Sara Ramos 99.9% 144.3 0.0% 34.3%
Josie Polaski 99.9% 152.3 0.0% 21.3%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jenny Crague 100% 10.2 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.7 4.1 5.5 6.9 8.6 9.5 9.7 9.2 7.5 6.3 5.3 4.4 3.7 2.8 2.3 1.8 1.6 1.1 1.2 0.8 0.6 0.5 100.0%
Sydney Vandersteeg 100% 11.9 0.1 0.6 1.4 2.2 3.5 4.8 6.0 6.9 8.6 8.7 8.5 7.2 6.3 5.5 4.5 4.3 3.4 2.6 2.2 1.9 1.7 1.4 1.2 1.0 100.0%
Sarah Hunsley 100% 22.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.9 2.3 3.5 3.8 3.8 4.4 4.4 4.0 4.2 4.2 3.6 3.9 3.8 3.9 3.7 100.0%
Maritza Castaneda 100% 25.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.2 1.7 2.0 2.4 3.1 3.2 3.5 3.4 3.8 3.9 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.6 3.4 100.0%
Megan Zajac 100% 37.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.6 1.4 1.7 1.7 2.1 2.4 100.0%
Sara Ramos 100% 37.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.0 100.0%
Josie Polaski 100% 44.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.1 1.2 100.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jenny Crague 100% 1.4 34.8 34.0 20.2 6.9 2.6 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Sydney Vandersteeg 100% 2.0 19.7 31.3 28.5 11.8 5.3 2.0 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Sarah Hunsley 100% 4.8 0.7 3.0 9.5 20.6 20.3 15.8 11.0 7.3 5.0 3.0 1.9 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Maritza Castaneda 100% 5.5 0.4 1.5 6.0 15.0 18.5 16.9 13.5 9.4 7.0 4.5 3.2 1.9 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Megan Zajac 100% 8.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.6 5.4 8.7 11.0 12.6 12.3 12.2 10.3 8.2 6.5 4.3 2.7 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Sara Ramos 100% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.1 4.4 7.6 10.6 12.7 13.0 12.3 11.0 8.9 6.7 4.5 3.1 1.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Josie Polaski 100% 10.5 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.6 3.6 5.9 8.7 11.2 12.2 12.9 12.3 10.2 8.2 5.7 3.4 2.0 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jenny Crague 1.0 60.3 33.4 4.9 1.0 0.3 0.0
Sydney Vandersteeg 1.3 36.4 50.4 9.9 2.7 0.5 0.2 0.0
Sarah Hunsley 3.1 1.5 8.0 38.5 27.3 13.7 6.4 2.8 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
Maritza Castaneda 3.6 0.9 4.9 26.9 30.5 18.5 9.9 5.2 2.3 0.7 0.2 0.1
Megan Zajac 5.6 0.0 0.4 4.3 10.7 20.1 22.5 19.5 13.4 5.8 2.4 0.9 0.0
Sara Ramos 5.8 0.3 3.9 9.4 18.6 22.5 21.3 14.0 6.7 2.4 1.0 0.0
Josie Polaski 6.8 0.1 1.2 4.5 9.9 16.8 23.4 23.1 13.4 5.3 2.4 0.0 0.0